拉丁美洲光伏市场:2034 年有望增长至 193.6 亿美元


拉丁美洲光伏市场:2034 年有望增长至 193.6 亿美元

Latin America Solar Energy Market to Triple by 2034

Section 1 – Market Size and Growth

According to a recent report by IMARC, the Latin America solar energy market is projected to grow from around USD 7.40 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 19.36 billion by 2034, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 11.28% during 2026–2034. This robust growth is primarily driven by declining solar module and battery prices, supportive policy frameworks, and increasing electricity demand across the region.

Utility-scale solar power plants currently account for the largest share of installed capacity, representing roughly 58% of deployments in 2025, while commercial and industrial (C&I) applications take up around 36%, supported by corporate decarbonization targets and rising grid tariffs. Residential rooftop solar, though smaller in absolute size, is growing rapidly as financing models and net-metering schemes become more accessible.

Section 2 – Key Countries and Project Pipeline

Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Colombia are highlighted as the core growth engines in the region’s solar build-out. In Brazil, a combination of high solar irradiation, supportive regulation and attractive power purchase agreement (PPA) structures is driving large-scale projects as well as distributed generation in the C&I and residential segments.

The report notes that in Chile, platforms such as T Power have successfully raised about USD 325 million in financing for a 141 MW solar plant combined with 677 MWh of battery energy storage, showcasing the increasing adoption of solar‑plus‑storage configurations. Meanwhile, Colombia has approved a budget of roughly USD 2.1 billion for its “Colombia Solar” program, which aims to provide rooftop solar systems to about 1.3 million low‑income households, significantly improving energy access and resilience.

Section 3 – Solar-plus-Storage and Investment Opportunities

Falling battery costs and a growing need for grid stability are accelerating the integration of energy storage with solar assets in Latin America. Developers are increasingly pairing utility‑scale PV with battery energy storage systems (BESS) to provide peak‑shaving, frequency regulation and capacity services, creating new revenue streams on top of traditional energy sales.

For international investors and technology suppliers, Latin America offers a compelling combination of high solar resource quality, improving regulatory visibility and a growing pipeline of bankable solar‑plus‑storage projects. Countries are also gradually refining interconnection rules, tender schemes and net‑billing regimes, which may further de‑risk long‑term investments in the region’s solar energy sector.

拉丁美洲光伏市场:2034 年有望增长至 193.6 亿美元

第一节:市场规模与增长

根据 IMARC 最新发布的一份报告,拉丁美洲太阳能市场预计将从 2025 年约 74 亿美元,增长到 2034 年约 193.6 亿美元,在 2026–2034 年期间的复合年增长率约为 11.28%。 这轮强劲增长,主要动力来自组件和电池价格持续下降、光伏友好的政策框架,以及全区域电力需求的不断攀升。

目前,公用事业级太阳能电站仍然是拉美光伏装机的“主力军”,在 2025 年占总装机的约 58%;工商业(C&I)项目约占 36%,背后是企业减碳目标、电价上涨,以及长期购电协议(PPA)模式的推动。 虽然户用屋顶光伏的绝对规模还不算最大,但在融资模式和净计量/净结算机制逐步完善的背景下,增速已经非常可观。

第二节:重点国家与项目储备

报告将巴西、智利、墨西哥和哥伦比亚,视为拉美光伏扩张的四大核心引擎。 在巴西,高水平的太阳辐照度、相对友好的监管环境,以及对开发商较为有利的 PPA 结构,共同推动了大规模地面电站、工商业屋顶和分布式系统的快速发展。

报告指出,在智利,像 T Power 这样的平台已经为一个 141MW 光伏 + 677MWh 储能项目筹集了约 3.25 亿美元融资,展示了“光伏+储能”在拉美地区快速落地的最新样板。 与此同时,哥伦比亚批准了约 21 亿美元预算,用于推动其“Colombia Solar”计划,为大约 130 万低收入家庭安装屋顶光伏系统,从而显著改善当地的用电可及性和能源韧性。

第三节:光储一体化与投资机会

随着电池成本持续下行,以及电网稳定性需求不断提升,拉美地区“光伏+储能”的一体化配置正在加速普及。 越来越多的开发商开始将大型光伏电站与电池储能系统(BESS)打包,提供削峰填谷、调频和容量服务,从而在传统“卖电价差”之外,开辟新的收益来源。

对于国际投资者和技术供应商来说,拉美市场叠加了几个非常有吸引力的要素:优质的太阳资源、日益清晰的监管路径,以及不断扩大的可融资光储项目储备。 各国也在逐步优化并网规则、招标机制和净计费方案,这有望进一步降低长期投资拉美光伏与储能项目的风险溢价。

Key Takeaways – Latin America Solar & Storage

拉美光伏市场预计将从 2025 年约 74 亿美元,增长到 2034 年约 193.6 亿美元,2026–2034 年复合增速约 11.28%。

公用事业级电站占 2025 年部署的约 58%,工商业项目约 36%,户用屋顶虽然基数小但增速快。

巴西、智利、墨西哥、哥伦比亚是四大核心增长引擎,项目管线中“光伏+储能”配置越来越普遍。

智利 141MW 光伏 + 677MWh 储能项目融资约 3.25 亿美元,哥伦比亚为 130 万低收入家庭屋顶光伏预留约 21 亿美元预算。

电池成本下行、电网稳定性需求上升,使“光储一体化”成为拉美大型项目和部分工商业项目的“新标配”。

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